I would go for the hooked-on idea.
What I love about the cloud idea is, that it finally allows people to get Adobe Software without the huge initial investment.
When I started with CG, Adobe was only one of many companies and there were often very cheap offers for a full Photoshop with a scanner, full Premiere with a video card etc. Pagemaker I got as a crossgrade from Corel Ventura (or was it a promo?) and later on when InDesign came out first it was very cheap initially as well since they had to kill Quark.
I don't think I ever paid full price for anything other than Illustrator, which somehow never was on sale (and I was using Freehand back then anyway).
But those days are long gone, today Adobe is extremely expensive and hardly ever gives anything away for substantial lower prices. It became a de-facto Monopoly for most people.
Another good thing: from the cloud you can install on two machines and they can be different OS - that was impossible before.
My problems with the Cloud idea are:
- Once you're on, you no longer own the software, so you can either go on paying for it or not have any software at all. So if there should be a financial valley, your out.
At least that is how I understand it - correct me if I'm wrong.
- As was said before: right now they make it cheap, but later on they have a license to kill, since you can't really get out, now that they don't allow updates from older versions any more.
- But the main reason why they are so lewd about the cloud is something else completely IMO: ATM there is a huge second hand market for used Adobe software. That will dry out completely after about 1-2 years from now and will be gone forever with only a tiny trickle left. That is a HUGE thing for them. Same for Autodesk and other such companies.
- For me, the Cloud would actually only be cool if I could cheaply rent the software for the actually hours used and paid for. Most of the tools I hardly ever use, but need every now and then so have to have them available.
I personally will give this some time and watch what happens with my boxed software close at hand :-)
I guess there will be a lot of changes in how the whole cloud topic is approached over the next couple of years. Humanity has to find out how to best handle it and has to live through some blackouts and broken internet cables to see how it feels if your files are somewhere else entirely and you can't get at them other than by swimming a LOooooooNG way... ;-)